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Miedz Legnica vs ŁKS Łódź: prediction and statistics

Poland · I liga · 20 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

Miedz Legnica host ŁKS Łódź in I liga on 20 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: ŁKS Łódź are 2nd of 18, Miedz Legnica 8th — a gap of 6 places. ŁKS Łódź are part of the leading group.

Miedz Legnica have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for ŁKS Łódź: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games.

The home record of Miedz Legnica (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 22 wins, 10 draws and 10 defeats in 42 matches, 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Away from home ŁKS Łódź have 16 wins, 12 draws and 13 defeats in 41 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 per game.

History favours Miedz Legnica — 6 wins from 8 meetings with ŁKS Łódź. Last time out (28 February 2026) it ended ŁKS Łódź 0:0 Miedz Legnica. On average these meetings produce 2.2 goals.

Form

Miedz Legnica: last five matches — L-D-L-W-D.

ŁKS Łódź: last five matches — L-D-W-L-W.

Table: Miedz Legnica — 8, ŁKS Łódź — 2 (of 18).

Home and away record

Miedz Legnica at home and ŁKS Łódź away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Miedz LegnicaŁKS Łódź
Matches4241
Wins · draws · losses22-10-1016-12-13
Goals scored per match1.91.4
Goals conceded per match1.31.4

Head to head

8 meetings in our database: Miedz Legnica won 6, 1 draws, ŁKS Łódź won 1. Per match: 2.2 goals.

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • Miedz Legnica has won 6 of the last 8 meetings with ŁKS Łódź.
  • Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 62% of Miedz Legnica home games and 59% of ŁKS Łódź away games.
  • Our model sees an open game: Miedz Legnica 40%, draw 27%, ŁKS Łódź 33%.

Yellow cards

68%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Miedz Legnica 1.7, ŁKS Łódź 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 32% (typical match — 49%).

Result

Our model: Miedz Legnica win 40%, draw 27%, ŁKS Łódź win 33%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.

Team statistics for three seasons

Miedz LegnicaŁKS Łódź
Win rate52%39%
Over 2.5 goals62%59%
Both teams score71%63%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match4.03.7
Over 4.5 yellow cards33%29%

Head to head

Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.3 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

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