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Montañeses vs Los Cabos United: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga Premier · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Montañeses · Los Cabos United
Key facts
- Montañeses is the more likely winner in our model: 53%, draw 24%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 83% of Montañeses’s home matches and 50% of Los Cabos United’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 2:1.
Result
Our model: Montañeses win 53%, draw 24%, Los Cabos United win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
Montañeses: last five matches — D-L-W-W-L.
- 9 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Los Cabos United: last five matches — L-W-W-L-D.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Montañeses — 15, Los Cabos United — 12 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Montañeses at home and Los Cabos United away, 2026.
| Montañeses | Los Cabos United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Win rate | 50% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 83% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Montañeses vs Los Cabos United?
Our model: Montañeses 53%, draw 24%, Los Cabos United 23%.