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Mura vs Bravo: prediction and statistics
Slovenia · 1. SNL · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Before kick-off
Mura host Bravo in 1. SNL on 21 November 2026. In the standings Mura are 9th and Bravo 5th out of 10 teams. Mura are in the bottom three.
Mura are still looking for a win: 3 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Bravo: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from the last 5 games.
The home record of Mura (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 13 wins, 13 draws and 16 defeats in 42 matches, 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Away from home Bravo have 17 wins, 11 draws and 14 defeats in 42 matches, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.4 per game.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 15 in 31 meetings. Last time out (29 August 2026) it ended Bravo 2:0 Mura. On average these meetings produce 2.4 goals.
Form
Mura: last five matches — L-L-D-D-D.
- 10 matches without a win · all competitions
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Bravo: last five matches — D-D-L-W-D.
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: Mura — 9, Bravo — 5 (of 10).
Home and away record
Mura at home and Bravo away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Mura | Bravo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 42 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 13-13-16 | 17-11-14 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Head to head
31 meetings in our database: Mura won 6, 15 draws, Bravo won 10. Per match: 2.4 goals.
- 29.08.2026: Bravo 2:0 Mura
- 11.04.2026: Mura 1:2 Bravo
- 03.02.2026: Bravo 0:2 Mura
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- 15 of the 31 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 38% of Mura home games and 55% of Bravo away games.
- Our model makes Bravo the favourite at 52%; a draw is 24%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards: Mura 2.5, Bravo 2.6; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 58% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 58%, typical match 45%.
Result
Our model: Mura win 24%, draw 24%, Bravo win 52%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 53%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Mura | Bravo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 31% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 57% | 38% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 11.1 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.