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Olimpija Ljubljana vs Radomlje: prediction and statistics
Slovenia · 1. SNL · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Olimpija Ljubljana · Radomlje
Before kick-off
1. SNL, 21 November 2026: Olimpija Ljubljana are at home to Radomlje. Olimpija Ljubljana sit 4th in the 10-team table while Radomlje are 10th, so 6 places separate the two sides. Radomlje are in the bottom three.
Few sides are in better shape than Olimpija Ljubljana right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Results have gone against Radomlje recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. On points from those games the gap is clear: 11 for Olimpija Ljubljana against 4 for Radomlje.
Olimpija Ljubljana are hard to beat on their own ground — 24 wins, 10 draws and 8 defeats in 42 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Trips have rarely paid off for Radomlje — 9 wins, 8 draws and 24 defeats in 41 away matches, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.1 on average.
Head to head, Olimpija Ljubljana have the upper hand: 16 wins in 23 meetings with Radomlje in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Radomlje 0:0 Olimpija Ljubljana. On average these meetings produce 2.9 goals.
Form
Olimpija Ljubljana: last five matches — W-W-W-D-D.
- 7 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Radomlje: last five matches — L-L-D-W-L.
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Olimpija Ljubljana — 4, Radomlje — 10 (of 10).
Home and away record
Olimpija Ljubljana at home and Radomlje away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Olimpija Ljubljana | Radomlje | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 41 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 24-10-8 | 9-8-24 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 2.1 |
Head to head
23 meetings in our database: Olimpija Ljubljana won 16, 4 draws, Radomlje won 3. Per match: 2.9 goals.
- 29.08.2026: Radomlje 0:0 Olimpija Ljubljana
- 17.05.2026: Olimpija Ljubljana 2:1 Radomlje
- 14.03.2026: Radomlje 1:2 Olimpija Ljubljana
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Olimpija Ljubljana is the more likely winner in our model: 68%, draw 20%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 52% of Olimpija Ljubljana’s home matches and 71% of Radomlje’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Olimpija Ljubljana: 16 wins in 23 meetings with Radomlje.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.4 yellow cards: Olimpija Ljubljana 2.4, Radomlje 3.0; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 62% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 62%, typical match 45%.
Result
Our model: Olimpija Ljubljana win 68%, draw 20%, Radomlje win 12%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 46%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Olimpija Ljubljana | Radomlje | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 57% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 71% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 63% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 57% | 49% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.