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Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars: prediction and statistics
Kenya · FKF Premier League · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Murang'a SEAL · Ulinzi Stars
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 39% – 27% – 34%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 36% of Murang'a SEAL’s home matches and 33% of Ulinzi Stars’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 2:2.
Result
Our model: Murang'a SEAL win 39%, draw 27%, Ulinzi Stars win 34%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.
Form
Murang'a SEAL: last five matches — W-L-W-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · at home
Ulinzi Stars: last five matches — W-D-W-D-L.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Murang'a SEAL — 3, Ulinzi Stars — 12 (of 12).
Team statistics for three seasons
Murang'a SEAL at home and Ulinzi Stars away, 2024–2026.
| Murang'a SEAL | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 36 | 36 |
| Win rate | 39% | 31% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Murang'a SEAL won 2, 2 draws, Ulinzi Stars won 2. Per match: 2.3 goals.
- 21.09.2025: Murang'a SEAL 0:1 Ulinzi Stars
- 01.05.2025: Murang'a SEAL 3:2 Ulinzi Stars
- 15.02.2025: Murang'a SEAL 1:2 Ulinzi Stars
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our model: Murang'a SEAL 39%, draw 27%, Ulinzi Stars 34%.