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New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: New England Revolution 6.0, Seattle Sounders 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 59% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 59%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: New England Revolution 1.7, Seattle Sounders 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 29% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 52%, typical match 43%.
Result
Market line without margin: New England Revolution win 50%, draw 25%, Seattle Sounders win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
New England Revolution: last five matches — D-W-L-D-W.
- 8 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Seattle Sounders: last five matches — L-L-D-D-D.
- 10 matches without a win · away
- 8 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: New England Revolution — 6, Seattle Sounders — 13 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
New England Revolution at home and Seattle Sounders away, 2024–2026.
| New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 47 | 52 |
| Win rate | 38% | 31% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | 9.9 | 10.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 55% | 58% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 43% | 25% |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: New England Revolution won 2, 5 draws, Seattle Sounders won 2. Per match: 3.2 goals, 11.0 corners, 2.5 yellow cards.
- 07.07.2024: Seattle Sounders 2:0 New England Revolution
- 10.08.2019: Seattle Sounders 3:3 New England Revolution
- 07.07.2018: New England Revolution 0:0 Seattle Sounders
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?
Our model expects 10.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 59%.
How many yellow cards in New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 29%.
Who is more likely to win New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?
Market line without margin: New England Revolution 50%, draw 25%, Seattle Sounders 25%.