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New York Red Bulls vs San Diego: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: New York Red Bulls 5.7, San Diego 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 60%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: New York Red Bulls 2.1, San Diego 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 62%.
Result
Market line without margin: New York Red Bulls win 37%, draw 25%, San Diego win 38%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 69%.
Form
New York Red Bulls: last five matches — W-L-D-L-L.
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
San Diego: last five matches — W-L-L-D-D.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: New York Red Bulls — 19, San Diego — 20 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
New York Red Bulls at home and San Diego away, 2024–2026.
| New York Red Bulls | San Diego | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 31 |
| Win rate | 44% | 45% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 65% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 65% |
| Total corners per match | 8.6 | 8.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 38% | 39% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 3.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 38% | 42% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: New York Red Bulls won 0, 0 draws, San Diego won 1. Per match: 6.0 goals.
- 15.02.2025: San Diego 6:0 New York Red Bulls
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
Our model expects 9.9 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 53%.
How many yellow cards in New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 37%.
Who is more likely to win New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
Market line without margin: New York Red Bulls 37%, draw 25%, San Diego 38%.