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Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch: prediction and statistics
England · Cup · 7 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Plymouth Argyle · Alvechurch
Key facts
- Plymouth Argyle is the more likely winner in our model: 85%, draw 12%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 33% of Plymouth Argyle’s home matches and 83% of Alvechurch’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 4:0.
Result
Our model: Plymouth Argyle win 85%, draw 12%, Alvechurch win 3%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 28%.
Form
Plymouth Argyle: last five matches — W-L-W-L-D.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Alvechurch: last five matches — D-W-D-D-W.
- 29 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 7 matches unbeaten · away
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Plymouth Argyle at home and Alvechurch away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Plymouth Argyle | Alvechurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Win rate | 50% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 83% |
| Both teams score | 17% | 100% |
| Total corners per match | 10.5 | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | 83% | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 0% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch?
Our model: Plymouth Argyle 85%, draw 12%, Alvechurch 3%.