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Plymouth vs Burton Albion: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Plymouth 5.6, Burton Albion 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Plymouth 2.0, Burton Albion 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 57%, typical match 51%.
Result
Market line without margin: Plymouth win 59%, draw 23%, Burton Albion win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 55%.
Form
Plymouth: last five matches — L-L-W-W-W.
- 10 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Burton Albion: last five matches — D-D-W-L-L.
- 6 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Plymouth — 3, Burton Albion — 12 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Plymouth at home and Burton Albion away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Plymouth | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 26 | 49 |
| Win rate | 46% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 49% |
| Both teams score | 58% | 51% |
| Total corners per match | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 71% | 45% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 54% | 33% |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: Plymouth won 6, 6 draws, Burton Albion won 6. Per match: 2.3 goals, 10.4 corners, 3.2 yellow cards.
- 04.01.2026: Plymouth 3:0 Burton Albion
- 27.09.2025: Burton Albion 0:4 Plymouth
- 29.04.2023: Plymouth 1:0 Burton Albion
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Plymouth vs Burton Albion?
Our model expects 10.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 57%.
How many yellow cards in Plymouth vs Burton Albion?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 38%.
Who is more likely to win Plymouth vs Burton Albion?
Market line without margin: Plymouth 59%, draw 23%, Burton Albion 18%.