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Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw: prediction and statistics
Poland · Ekstraklasa · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Pogon Szczecin · Slask Wroclaw
Before kick-off
Ekstraklasa, 20 November 2026: Pogon Szczecin are at home to Slask Wroclaw. Pogon Szczecin sit 4th in the 18-team table while Slask Wroclaw are 17th, so 13 places separate the two sides. Slask Wroclaw are in the bottom three.
Few sides are in better shape than Pogon Szczecin right now — 4 wins and 1 draw from the last 5 games. Slask Wroclaw are still looking for a win: 5 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 13 for Pogon Szczecin against 0 for Slask Wroclaw.
Pogon Szczecin are hard to beat on their own ground — 26 wins, 7 draws and 8 defeats in 41 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 2.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Trips have rarely paid off for Slask Wroclaw — 2 wins, 6 draws and 16 defeats in 24 away matches, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.9 on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 16 meetings — wins: Pogon Szczecin 5, Slask Wroclaw 5; draws: 6. The most recent meeting, on 3 September 2026, finished Slask Wroclaw 2:1 Pogon Szczecin. On average these meetings produce 2.4 goals.
Form
Pogon Szczecin: last five matches — W-D-W-W-W.
- 9 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Slask Wroclaw: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 9 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 8 matches without a win · away
- 5 losses in a row · away
Table: Pogon Szczecin — 4, Slask Wroclaw — 17 (of 18).
Home and away record
Pogon Szczecin at home and Slask Wroclaw away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Pogon Szczecin | Slask Wroclaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 24 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 26-7-8 | 2-6-16 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.9 |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Pogon Szczecin won 5, 6 draws, Slask Wroclaw won 5. Per match: 2.4 goals.
- 03.09.2026: Slask Wroclaw 2:1 Pogon Szczecin
- 07.03.2025: Slask Wroclaw 1:1 Pogon Szczecin
- 01.09.2024: Pogon Szczecin 5:3 Slask Wroclaw
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 56% of Pogon Szczecin’s home matches and 58% of Slask Wroclaw’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Pogon Szczecin: 5.8 against 4.2 for Slask Wroclaw.
- Pogon Szczecin is the more likely winner in our model: 51%, draw 24%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: Pogon Szczecin 5.8, Slask Wroclaw 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 58%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Pogon Szczecin 1.9, Slask Wroclaw 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 33% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 67%, typical match 57%.
Result
Our model: Pogon Szczecin win 51%, draw 24%, Slask Wroclaw win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 57%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Pogon Szczecin | Slask Wroclaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 63% | 8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 58% |
| Both teams score | 49% | 63% |
| Total corners per match | 10.6 | 11.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 61% | 75% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 44% | 38% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.9 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.