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Polisi Tanzania vs Young Africans: prediction and statistics
Tanzania · Ligi Kuu Bara · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Polisi Tanzania · Young Africans
Before kick-off
Ligi Kuu Bara, 20 November 2026: Polisi Tanzania are at home to Young Africans. Polisi Tanzania go into the match 6th of 16 in the table, Young Africans are 2nd. Young Africans are in the top three.
Recent results of Polisi Tanzania are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Young Africans have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches.
Polisi Tanzania are hard to beat on their own ground — 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in 8 home matches (2024–2026), with 1.9 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Young Africans travel well: 24 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats in 34 away matches, with 2.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game.
Head to head, Young Africans have the upper hand: 5 wins in 8 meetings with Polisi Tanzania in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 17 December 2022, finished Young Africans 3:0 Polisi Tanzania. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
Polisi Tanzania: last five matches — W-L-W-D-W.
- 10 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
Young Africans: last five matches — W-D-L-W-D.
- 12 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Polisi Tanzania — 6, Young Africans — 2 (of 16).
Home and away record
Polisi Tanzania at home and Young Africans away, 2024–2026.
| Polisi Tanzania | Young Africans | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 34 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 5-2-1 | 24-7-3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 0.3 |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Polisi Tanzania won 0, 3 draws, Young Africans won 5. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 17.12.2022: Young Africans 3:0 Polisi Tanzania
- 16.08.2022: Polisi Tanzania 1:2 Young Africans
- 22.06.2022: Young Africans 2:0 Polisi Tanzania
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 38% of Polisi Tanzania’s home matches and 44% of Young Africans’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Young Africans: 5 wins in 8 meetings with Polisi Tanzania.
- Young Africans is the more likely winner in our model: 80%, draw 15%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 2.9 yellow cards: Polisi Tanzania 1.6, Young Africans 1.3; typical match of the competition — 3.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 17% (typical match — 19%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 66%, typical match 64%.
Result
Our model: Polisi Tanzania win 6%, draw 15%, Young Africans win 80%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 32%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Polisi Tanzania | Young Africans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 63% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 21% |
| Total corners per match | — | 13.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | 100% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 9% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.