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Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and statistics

Germany · 3. Liga · 14 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

51%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Preußen Münster 4.9, Fortuna Düsseldorf 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 51% (typical match — 56%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 62%, typical match 57%.

Yellow cards

50%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Preußen Münster 2.2, Fortuna Düsseldorf 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 48%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 68%, typical match 66%.

Form

Preußen Münster: last five matches — L-D-L-W-D.

Fortuna Düsseldorf: last five matches — L-L-D-W-L.

Table: Preußen Münster — 8, Fortuna Düsseldorf — 10 (of 21).

Team statistics for three seasons

Preußen Münster at home and Fortuna Düsseldorf away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Preußen MünsterFortuna Düsseldorf
Matches34
Win rate33%25%
Goals scored per match2.00.8
Goals conceded per match1.71.0
Over 2.5 goals67%50%
Both teams score100%50%
Total corners per match9.511.3
Over 9.5 corners50%100%
Total yellow cards per match2.35.0
Over 4.5 yellow cards0%50%

Head to head

4 meetings in our database: Preußen Münster won 1, 1 draws, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 2. Per match: 1.2 goals, 10.0 corners, 4.3 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 51%.

How many yellow cards in Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 50%.

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