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Fortuna Köln vs SV Meppen: prediction and statistics
Germany · 3. Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Fortuna Köln · SV Meppen
Before kick-off
Fortuna Köln host SV Meppen in 3. Liga on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: SV Meppen are 11th of 20, Fortuna Köln 19th — a gap of 8 places. Fortuna Köln are in the bottom three.
Fortuna Köln are still looking for a win: 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. SV Meppen are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches.
Home matches have been a struggle for Fortuna Köln (2024/25–2026/27) — 3 draws and 3 defeats in 6 games, scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.0 on average. Away from home SV Meppen have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 6 matches, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Both samples are low on goals: 1.3 per game in home matches of Fortuna Köln and 2.0 in away matches of SV Meppen.
History favours SV Meppen — 3 wins from 5 meetings with Fortuna Köln. Last time out (28 June 2023) it ended SV Meppen 1:1 Fortuna Köln. On average these meetings produce 2.0 goals.
Form
Fortuna Köln: last five matches — D-L-D-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · at home
- 5 losses in a row · all competitions
SV Meppen: last five matches — L-L-W-D-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Fortuna Köln — 19, SV Meppen — 11 (of 20).
Home and away record
Fortuna Köln at home and SV Meppen away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Fortuna Köln | SV Meppen | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 0-3-3 | 2-1-3 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Fortuna Köln won 0, 2 draws, SV Meppen won 3. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 28.06.2023: SV Meppen 1:1 Fortuna Köln
- 06.05.2019: Fortuna Köln 1:1 SV Meppen
- 02.12.2018: SV Meppen 3:0 Fortuna Köln
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- SV Meppen has won 3 of the last 5 meetings with Fortuna Köln.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 17% of Fortuna Köln home games and 50% of SV Meppen away games.
- Our model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 51%; a draw is 23%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: Fortuna Köln 5.1, SV Meppen 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 59%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Fortuna Köln 2.2, SV Meppen 2.6; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 52% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 52%, typical match 48%.
Result
Our model: Fortuna Köln win 26%, draw 23%, SV Meppen win 51%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 58%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Fortuna Köln | SV Meppen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 17% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 60% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 67% | 50% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.8 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.