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Příbram vs Ústí nad Labem: prediction and statistics
Czechia · Chance Národní liga · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Příbram · Ústí nad Labem
Before kick-off
Příbram host Ústí nad Labem in Chance Národní liga on 20 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Příbram are 5th, Ústí nad Labem 6th in a table of 16.
Příbram have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Ústí nad Labem are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games.
The home record of Příbram (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 10 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats in 21 matches, 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Away from home Ústí nad Labem have 8 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats in 21 matches, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game.
History favours Příbram — 4 wins from 5 meetings with Ústí nad Labem. Last time out (13 March 2026) it ended Ústí nad Labem 0:2 Příbram. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.
Form
Příbram: last five matches — W-L-L-L-W.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Ústí nad Labem: last five matches — W-W-W-D-L.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Příbram — 5, Ústí nad Labem — 6 (of 16).
Home and away record
Příbram at home and Ústí nad Labem away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Příbram | Ústí nad Labem | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 21 | 21 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 10-5-6 | 8-5-8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Příbram won 4, 1 draws, Ústí nad Labem won 0. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 13.03.2026: Ústí nad Labem 0:2 Příbram
- 08.08.2025: Příbram 2:1 Ústí nad Labem
- 24.02.2024: Ústí nad Labem 0:2 Příbram
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Příbram has won 4 of the last 5 meetings with Ústí nad Labem.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 43% of Příbram home games and 67% of Ústí nad Labem away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Příbram 1.9, Ústí nad Labem 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 53%.
Result
Our model: Příbram win 47%, draw 25%, Ústí nad Labem win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 56%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Příbram | Ústí nad Labem | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 48% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 38% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.