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PSS Sleman vs Arema FC: prediction and statistics
Indonesia · Liga 1 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: PSS Sleman · Arema FC
Before kick-off
PSS Sleman host Arema FC in Liga 1 on 20 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — PSS Sleman are 16th, Arema FC 14th in a table of 18. PSS Sleman are in the bottom three.
PSS Sleman have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Arema FC no victory — 1 draw and 4 defeats.
Home matches have been a struggle for PSS Sleman (2024–2026) — 7 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats in 21 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.6 on average. Away from home Arema FC have 12 wins, 11 draws and 15 defeats in 38 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 per game. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.0 per game in home matches of PSS Sleman and 3.0 in away matches of Arema FC.
The 10 previous meetings are fairly balanced — PSS Sleman 5, Arema FC 4, draws 1. Last time out (17 February 2025) it ended Arema FC 6:2 PSS Sleman. On average these meetings produce 3.5 goals.
Form
PSS Sleman: last five matches — D-L-W-L-D.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Arema FC: last five matches — L-D-L-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: PSS Sleman — 16, Arema FC — 14 (of 18).
Home and away record
PSS Sleman at home and Arema FC away, 2024–2026.
| PSS Sleman | Arema FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 21 | 38 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 7-2-12 | 12-11-15 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: PSS Sleman won 5, 1 draws, Arema FC won 4. Per match: 3.5 goals.
- 17.02.2025: Arema FC 6:2 PSS Sleman
- 20.09.2024: PSS Sleman 3:1 Arema FC
- 15.04.2024: PSS Sleman 4:1 Arema FC
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 71% of PSS Sleman home games and 61% of Arema FC away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: PSS Sleman 1.9, Arema FC 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 62%, typical match 54%.
Result
Our model: PSS Sleman win 47%, draw 24%, Arema FC win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 61%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| PSS Sleman | Arema FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 61% |
| Both teams score | 71% | 68% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 57% | 47% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.