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RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt: prediction and statistics

Germany · Bundesliga · 10 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

51%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.6 corners in the match: RB Leipzig 5.5, Eintracht Frankfurt 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 49% (typical match — 50%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 51%, typical match 50%.

Yellow cards

73%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: RB Leipzig 1.6, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 27% (typical match — 35%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 55%, typical match 45%.

Result

Market line without margin: RB Leipzig win 62%, draw 21%, Eintracht Frankfurt win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 73%, both teams to score — 65%.

Form

RB Leipzig: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.

Eintracht Frankfurt: last five matches — W-L-W-D-W.

Table: RB Leipzig — 9, Eintracht Frankfurt — 10 (of 18).

Team statistics for three seasons

RB Leipzig at home and Eintracht Frankfurt away, 2024/25–2026/27.

RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt
Matches3636
Win rate61%33%
Goals scored per match2.31.8
Goals conceded per match1.21.8
Over 2.5 goals72%67%
Both teams score61%78%
Total corners per match10.79.6
Over 9.5 corners61%56%
Total yellow cards per match3.33.7
Over 4.5 yellow cards19%33%

Head to head

24 meetings in our database: RB Leipzig won 9, 8 draws, Eintracht Frankfurt won 7. Per match: 2.9 goals, 9.1 corners, 3.7 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Our model expects 9.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 49%.

How many yellow cards in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 27%.

Who is more likely to win RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Market line without margin: RB Leipzig 62%, draw 21%, Eintracht Frankfurt 18%.

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