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Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Real Salt Lake 5.7, New England Revolution 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Real Salt Lake 1.9, New England Revolution 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 59%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Real Salt Lake win 38%, draw 27%, New England Revolution win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
Real Salt Lake: last five matches — D-L-D-L-L.
- 10 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
New England Revolution: last five matches — W-W-L-W-W.
- 7 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
Table: Real Salt Lake — 24, New England Revolution — 4 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Real Salt Lake at home and New England Revolution away, 2024–2026.
| Real Salt Lake | New England Revolution | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 47 |
| Win rate | 56% | 30% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 66% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 44% | 45% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 38% | 36% |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Real Salt Lake won 6, 2 draws, New England Revolution won 2. Per match: 2.9 goals, 10.4 corners, 3.3 yellow cards.
- 01.09.2024: Real Salt Lake 2:0 New England Revolution
- 13.03.2022: New England Revolution 2:3 Real Salt Lake
- 21.09.2019: New England Revolution 0:0 Real Salt Lake
Referee
Ricardo Fierro: 33 matches in our database, 3.5 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.2); over 4.5 cards in 27% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.
How many yellow cards in Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 39%.
Who is more likely to win Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
Market line without margin: Real Salt Lake 38%, draw 27%, New England Revolution 35%.