Xpect
Real Sociedad II vs Almeria: prediction and statistics
Spain · Segunda · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Real Sociedad II 5.2, Almeria 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 60%, typical match 59%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.2 yellow cards: Real Sociedad II 2.8, Almeria 2.4; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 59% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 59%, typical match 57%.
Form
Real Sociedad II: last five matches — L-L-D-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · at home
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
Almeria: last five matches — W-L-L-W-W.
- 10 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 5 wins in a row · all competitions
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Real Sociedad II — 16, Almeria — 3 (of 22).
Team statistics for three seasons
Real Sociedad II at home and Almeria away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Real Sociedad II | Almeria | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 25 | 49 |
| Win rate | 28% | 31% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 65% |
| Total corners per match | 8.6 | 9.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 40% | 43% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 6.3 | 5.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 80% | 61% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Real Sociedad II won 0, 1 draws, Almeria won 3. Per match: 4.0 goals, 11.0 corners, 7.0 yellow cards.
- 29.03.2026: Almeria 5:1 Real Sociedad II
- 29.08.2025: Real Sociedad II 2:2 Almeria
- 13.05.2022: Real Sociedad II 0:2 Almeria
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.
How many yellow cards in Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
Our model expects 5.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 59%.