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Real Sociedad vs Deportivo: prediction and statistics
Spain · La Liga · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: Real Sociedad 5.7, Deportivo 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 53%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Real Sociedad 2.4, Deportivo 2.6; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 55% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 73%.
Result
Market line without margin: Real Sociedad win 49%, draw 27%, Deportivo win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
Real Sociedad: last five matches — D-W-D-L-L.
- 7 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · at home
Deportivo: last five matches — W-D-W-D-D.
- 16 matches unbeaten · away
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Real Sociedad — 8, Deportivo — 7 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Real Sociedad at home and Deportivo away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Real Sociedad | Deportivo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 3 |
| Win rate | 41% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 100% |
| Total corners per match | 10.6 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 63% | 67% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 49% | 33% |
Head to head
40 meetings in our database: Real Sociedad won 12, 13 draws, Deportivo won 15. Per match: 2.4 goals, 10.4 corners, 4.7 yellow cards.
- 02.02.2018: Real Sociedad 5:0 Deportivo
- 10.09.2017: Deportivo 2:4 Real Sociedad
- 23.04.2017: Real Sociedad 1:0 Deportivo
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Real Sociedad vs Deportivo?
Our model expects 9.9 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 53%.
How many yellow cards in Real Sociedad vs Deportivo?
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 55%.
Who is more likely to win Real Sociedad vs Deportivo?
Market line without margin: Real Sociedad 49%, draw 27%, Deportivo 25%.