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Rudes vs NK Varazdin: prediction and statistics
Croatia · HNL · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Rudes · NK Varazdin
Before kick-off
Rudes host NK Varazdin in HNL on 21 November 2026. In the standings Rudes are 8th and NK Varazdin 5th out of 10 teams. Rudes are in the bottom three.
Results have gone against Rudes recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. An uneven run for NK Varazdin: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from the last 5 games.
Home matches have been a struggle for Rudes (2024/25–2026/27) — 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 6 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.5 on average. Away from home NK Varazdin have 11 wins, 13 draws and 18 defeats in 42 matches, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.1 per game.
History favours NK Varazdin — 7 wins from 9 meetings with Rudes. Last time out (29 August 2026) it ended NK Varazdin 2:0 Rudes. On average these meetings produce 2.2 goals.
Form
Rudes: last five matches — L-D-L-W-L.
NK Varazdin: last five matches — D-D-W-L-D.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Rudes — 8, NK Varazdin — 5 (of 10).
Home and away record
Rudes at home and NK Varazdin away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Rudes | NK Varazdin | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 42 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 2-1-3 | 11-13-18 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.5 | 1.1 |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Rudes won 1, 1 draws, NK Varazdin won 7. Per match: 2.2 goals.
- 29.08.2026: NK Varazdin 2:0 Rudes
- 22.04.2024: Rudes 0:2 NK Varazdin
- 09.02.2024: NK Varazdin 1:0 Rudes
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- NK Varazdin has won 7 of the last 9 meetings with Rudes.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 83% of Rudes home games and 36% of NK Varazdin away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Rudes 31%, draw 24%, NK Varazdin 45%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.5 corners in the match: Rudes 4.9, NK Varazdin 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 48% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 61%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Rudes 2.2, NK Varazdin 1.8; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 54%.
Result
Our model: Rudes win 31%, draw 24%, NK Varazdin win 45%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 58%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Rudes | NK Varazdin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 10.3 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 33% | 49% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.3 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 17% | 51% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.