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Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor: prediction and statistics
Türkiye · Süper Lig · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.5 corners in the match: Samsunspor 5.2, Trabzonspor 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 48% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 52%, typical match 51%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Samsunspor 2.2, Trabzonspor 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 57%, typical match 49%.
Result
Market line without margin: Samsunspor win 26%, draw 26%, Trabzonspor win 49%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
Samsunspor: last five matches — W-W-D-L-L.
- 4 losses in a row · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Trabzonspor: last five matches — L-D-L-L-L.
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: Samsunspor — 16, Trabzonspor — 7 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Samsunspor at home and Trabzonspor away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Samsunspor | Trabzonspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 38 | 38 |
| Win rate | 47% | 37% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 53% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 63% |
| Total corners per match | 9.0 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 41% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 38% | 42% |
Head to head
22 meetings in our database: Samsunspor won 6, 4 draws, Trabzonspor won 12. Per match: 3.2 goals, 9.2 corners, 3.4 yellow cards.
- 23.04.2026: Samsunspor 1:3 Trabzonspor
- 07.02.2026: Samsunspor 0:3 Trabzonspor
- 31.08.2025: Trabzonspor 1:1 Samsunspor
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Our model expects 9.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 48%.
How many yellow cards in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 43%.
Who is more likely to win Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Market line without margin: Samsunspor 26%, draw 26%, Trabzonspor 49%.