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Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Seattle Sounders · Real Salt Lake
Before kick-off
MLS, 20 November 2026: Seattle Sounders are at home to Real Salt Lake. Seattle Sounders go into the match 15th of 30 in the table, Real Salt Lake are 18th.
Recent results of Seattle Sounders are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Real Salt Lake have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024–2026) Seattle Sounders have 27 wins, 18 draws and 8 defeats in 53 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. The away record of Real Salt Lake: 11 wins, 16 draws and 26 defeats in 53 matches, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 40 meetings — wins: Seattle Sounders 15, Real Salt Lake 17; draws: 8. The most recent meeting, on 24 September 2026, finished Seattle Sounders 2:0 Real Salt Lake. On average these meetings produce 2.0 goals.
Form
Seattle Sounders: last five matches — W-W-D-L-W.
- 9 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Real Salt Lake: last five matches — L-L-W-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: Seattle Sounders — 15, Real Salt Lake — 18 (of 30).
Home and away record
Seattle Sounders at home and Real Salt Lake away, 2024–2026.
| Seattle Sounders | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 53 | 53 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 27-18-8 | 11-16-26 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
Head to head
40 meetings in our database: Seattle Sounders won 15, 8 draws, Real Salt Lake won 17. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 24.09.2026: Seattle Sounders 2:0 Real Salt Lake
- 01.03.2026: Real Salt Lake 2:1 Seattle Sounders
- 12.10.2025: Seattle Sounders 1:0 Real Salt Lake
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 47% of Seattle Sounders’s home matches and 59% of Real Salt Lake’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Seattle Sounders: 6.1 against 4.5 for Real Salt Lake.
- No clear favourite in our model: 40% – 25% – 36%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.6 corners in the match: Seattle Sounders 6.1, Real Salt Lake 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 61%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Seattle Sounders 1.8, Real Salt Lake 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 31% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 69%, typical match 62%.
Result
Our model: Seattle Sounders win 40%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 59%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Seattle Sounders | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 51% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 59% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 72% |
| Total corners per match | 10.4 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 49% | 59% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 36% | 53% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.