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Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Ajman: prediction and statistics
United Arab Emirates · Pro League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · Ajman
Before kick-off
Pro League, 20 November 2026: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai are at home to Ajman. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai go into the match 5th of 14 in the table, Ajman are 8th.
Few sides are in better shape than Shabab Al Ahli Dubai right now — 4 wins and 1 draw from the last 5 games. Ajman have been solid lately: 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai are hard to beat on their own ground — 22 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats in 29 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. The away record of Ajman: 11 wins, 3 draws and 15 defeats in 29 matches, with 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average.
Head to head, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai have the upper hand: 33 wins in 48 meetings with Ajman in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 28 January 2026, finished Ajman 0:1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. On average these meetings produce 2.9 goals.
Form
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Ajman: last five matches — W-W-L-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — 5, Ajman — 8 (of 14).
Home and away record
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at home and Ajman away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Ajman | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 29 | 29 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 22-5-2 | 11-3-15 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
Head to head
48 meetings in our database: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai won 33, 10 draws, Ajman won 5. Per match: 2.9 goals.
- 28.01.2026: Ajman 0:1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
- 15.01.2026: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3:1 Ajman
- 08.02.2025: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3:1 Ajman
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 55% of Shabab Al Ahli Dubai’s home matches and 45% of Ajman’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 33 wins in 48 meetings with Ajman.
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai is the more likely winner in our model: 64%, draw 20%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1.9, Ajman 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 36%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 59%, typical match 56%.
Result
Our model: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win 64%, draw 20%, Ajman win 16%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 56%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Ajman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 76% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 45% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 35% |
| Total corners per match | 9.1 | 8.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46% | 39% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 41% | 41% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 11.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.