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St Johnstone vs Dundee United: prediction and statistics
Scotland · Premiership · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: St Johnstone 5.3, Dundee United 5.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 59% (typical match — 60%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 53%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: St Johnstone 1.5, Dundee United 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 25% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 57%, typical match 50%.
Result
Market line without margin: St Johnstone win 41%, draw 27%, Dundee United win 32%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
St Johnstone: last five matches — D-W-W-L-D.
- 9 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Dundee United: last five matches — L-L-W-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: St Johnstone — 6, Dundee United — 8 (of 12).
Team statistics for three seasons
St Johnstone at home and Dundee United away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| St Johnstone | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 21 | 40 |
| Win rate | 33% | 30% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 53% |
| Total corners per match | 11.1 | 10.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 52% | 57% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 14% | 30% |
Head to head
43 meetings in our database: St Johnstone won 12, 14 draws, Dundee United won 17. Per match: 2.1 goals, 11.1 corners, 3.8 yellow cards.
- 12.04.2025: Dundee United 1:0 St Johnstone
- 26.12.2024: St Johnstone 1:2 Dundee United
- 24.08.2024: Dundee United 2:0 St Johnstone
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in St Johnstone vs Dundee United?
Our model expects 10.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 59%.
How many yellow cards in St Johnstone vs Dundee United?
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 25%.
Who is more likely to win St Johnstone vs Dundee United?
Market line without margin: St Johnstone 41%, draw 27%, Dundee United 32%.