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Stade Rennais vs AJ Auxerre: prediction and statistics
France · Ligue 1 · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Stade Rennais 5.9, AJ Auxerre 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.5. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 48%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Stade Rennais 1.8, AJ Auxerre 2.2; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 33%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 57%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: Stade Rennais win 67%, draw 20%, AJ Auxerre win 13%. Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 56%.
Form
Stade Rennais: last five matches — L-L-D-W-W.
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
AJ Auxerre: last five matches — W-D-W-L-L.
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Stade Rennais — 5, AJ Auxerre — 10 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Stade Rennais at home and AJ Auxerre away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Stade Rennais | AJ Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 36 |
| Win rate | 57% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 10.1 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 43% | 28% |
Head to head
43 meetings in our database: Stade Rennais won 15, 9 draws, AJ Auxerre won 19. Per match: 2.4 goals, 8.8 corners, 3.4 yellow cards.
- 22.02.2026: AJ Auxerre 0:3 Stade Rennais
- 19.10.2025: Stade Rennais 2:2 AJ Auxerre
- 06.04.2025: Stade Rennais 0:1 AJ Auxerre
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Stade Rennais vs AJ Auxerre?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 57%.
How many yellow cards in Stade Rennais vs AJ Auxerre?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 37%.
Who is more likely to win Stade Rennais vs AJ Auxerre?
Market line without margin: Stade Rennais 67%, draw 20%, AJ Auxerre 13%.