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Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai: prediction and statistics
Vietnam · V.League 1 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Thanh Hóa · Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Before kick-off
Thanh Hóa host Hoang Anh Gia Lai in V.League 1 on 20 November 2026. In the standings Thanh Hóa are 8th and Hoang Anh Gia Lai 12th out of 14 teams. Hoang Anh Gia Lai are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
Thanh Hóa have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Hoang Anh Gia Lai no victory — 1 draw and 4 defeats.
The home record of Thanh Hóa (2025–2027) is balanced: 7 wins, 14 draws and 8 defeats in 29 matches, 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Hoang Anh Gia Lai find it hard on the road: 5 wins, 6 draws and 18 defeats in 29 away matches, 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 10 in 22 meetings. Last time out (23 May 2026) it ended Thanh Hóa 1:1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai. On average these meetings produce 2.9 goals.
Form
Thanh Hóa: last five matches — D-L-W-L-D.
- 10 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Hoang Anh Gia Lai: last five matches — D-L-L-L-L.
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 4 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Thanh Hóa — 8, Hoang Anh Gia Lai — 12 (of 14).
Home and away record
Thanh Hóa at home and Hoang Anh Gia Lai away, 2025–2027.
| Thanh Hóa | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 29 | 29 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 7-14-8 | 5-6-18 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.9 |
Head to head
22 meetings in our database: Thanh Hóa won 5, 10 draws, Hoang Anh Gia Lai won 7. Per match: 2.9 goals.
- 23.05.2026: Thanh Hóa 1:1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
- 09.11.2025: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1:1 Thanh Hóa
- 13.09.2025: Thanh Hóa 0:2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- 10 of the 22 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 38% of Thanh Hóa home games and 55% of Hoang Anh Gia Lai away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Thanh Hóa 2.0, Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 28%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 56%, typical match 47%.
Result
Our model: Thanh Hóa win 49%, draw 25%, Hoang Anh Gia Lai win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 52%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Thanh Hóa | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 24% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 72% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.4 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 24% | 35% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.1 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.