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Viettel vs Song Lam Nghe An: prediction and statistics

Vietnam · V.League 1 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

V.League 1, 20 November 2026: Viettel are at home to Song Lam Nghe An. Song Lam Nghe An sit 3rd in the 14-team table while Viettel are 13th, so 10 places separate the two sides. Viettel are fighting at the wrong end of the table. Song Lam Nghe An are in the top three.

The last 5 games brought Viettel no victory — 3 draws and 2 defeats. Song Lam Nghe An have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 8 for Song Lam Nghe An against 3 for Viettel.

Viettel are hard to beat on their own ground — 17 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats in 30 home matches (2025–2027), with 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. The away record of Song Lam Nghe An: 6 wins, 11 draws and 13 defeats in 30 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average.

Head to head there is no clear master over 13 meetings — wins: Viettel 7, Song Lam Nghe An 3; draws: 3. The most recent meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Song Lam Nghe An 1:1 Viettel. On average these meetings produce 2.4 goals.

Form

Viettel: last five matches — D-L-D-L-D.

Song Lam Nghe An: last five matches — L-W-D-W-D.

Table: Viettel — 13, Song Lam Nghe An — 3 (of 14).

Home and away record

Viettel at home and Song Lam Nghe An away, 2025–2027.

ViettelSong Lam Nghe An
Matches3030
Wins · draws · losses17-7-66-11-13
Goals scored per match1.51.1
Goals conceded per match0.91.6

Head to head

13 meetings in our database: Viettel won 7, 3 draws, Song Lam Nghe An won 3. Per match: 2.4 goals.

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Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • Over 2.5 goals happened in 40% of Viettel’s home matches and 47% of Song Lam Nghe An’s away matches over three seasons.

Yellow cards

55%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Viettel 1.8, Song Lam Nghe An 2.6; typical match of the competition — 3.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 45% (typical match — 28%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 64%, typical match 47%.

Result

Our model: Viettel win 46%, draw 26%, Song Lam Nghe An win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 52%.

Team statistics for three seasons

ViettelSong Lam Nghe An
Win rate57%20%
Over 2.5 goals40%47%
Both teams score47%60%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match4.22.8
Over 4.5 yellow cards43%23%

Head to head

Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.5 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

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