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Universidad de Chile vs Nublense: prediction and statistics
Chile · Primera División · 12 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.5 corners in the match: Universidad de Chile 5.6, Nublense 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 48% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 52%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards: Universidad de Chile 2.2, Nublense 3.0; typical match of the competition — 5.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 61% (typical match — 62%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 77%, typical match 78%.
Result
Market line without margin: Universidad de Chile win 63%, draw 23%, Nublense win 14%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Universidad de Chile: last five matches — W-W-L-W-D.
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Nublense: last five matches — D-W-L-L-L.
- 3 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches without a win · away
Table: Universidad de Chile — 3, Nublense — 7 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Universidad de Chile at home and Nublense away, 2024–2026.
| Universidad de Chile | Nublense | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 41 |
| Win rate | 66% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 51% | 49% |
| Total corners per match | 10.7 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 54% | 49% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 61% | 73% |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Universidad de Chile won 4, 4 draws, Nublense won 4. Per match: 2.6 goals, 10.7 corners, 5.2 yellow cards.
- 12.04.2026: Nublense 1:0 Universidad de Chile
- 20.07.2025: Nublense 2:2 Universidad de Chile
- 15.02.2025: Universidad de Chile 5:0 Nublense
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
Our model expects 9.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 48%.
How many yellow cards in Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 61%.
Who is more likely to win Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
Market line without margin: Universidad de Chile 63%, draw 23%, Nublense 14%.