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VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim: prediction and statistics

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 17 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

64%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.8 corners in the match: VfL Wolfsburg 5.7, 1. FC Heidenheim 5.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 64% (typical match — 55%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 52%, typical match 43%.

Yellow cards

73%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: VfL Wolfsburg 1.8, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.7; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 27% (typical match — 45%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 54%, typical match 36%.

Form

VfL Wolfsburg: last five matches — W-D-D-W-W.

1. FC Heidenheim: last five matches — L-L-W-D-L.

Table: VfL Wolfsburg — 5, 1. FC Heidenheim — 3 (of 19).

Team statistics for three seasons

VfL Wolfsburg at home and 1. FC Heidenheim away, 2024/25–2026/27.

VfL Wolfsburg1. FC Heidenheim
Matches33
Win rate33%33%
Goals scored per match3.01.3
Goals conceded per match1.72.0
Over 2.5 goals67%67%
Both teams score67%67%
Total corners per match12.09.3
Over 9.5 corners100%33%
Total yellow cards per match4.34.0
Over 4.5 yellow cards67%33%

Head to head

8 meetings in our database: VfL Wolfsburg won 5, 2 draws, 1. FC Heidenheim won 1. Per match: 2.6 goals, 9.2 corners, 4.8 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

Our model expects 10.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 64%.

How many yellow cards in VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 27%.

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