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1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and statistics
Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.8 corners in the match: 1. FC Nürnberg 6.1, VfL Wolfsburg 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 64% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 51%, typical match 43%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: 1. FC Nürnberg 1.7, VfL Wolfsburg 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 55%.
Result
Market line without margin: 1. FC Nürnberg win 37%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg win 39%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 66%.
Form
1. FC Nürnberg: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 18 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 8 wins in a row · at home
- 7 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
VfL Wolfsburg: last five matches — W-W-D-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: 1. FC Nürnberg — 2, VfL Wolfsburg — 4 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
1. FC Nürnberg at home and VfL Wolfsburg away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| 1. FC Nürnberg | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 3 |
| Win rate | 54% | 67% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 51% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | 10.2 | 15.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 57% | 100% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 2.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 51% | 0% |
Head to head
27 meetings in our database: 1. FC Nürnberg won 10, 9 draws, VfL Wolfsburg won 8. Per match: 2.5 goals, 10.3 corners, 3.8 yellow cards.
- 04.05.2019: VfL Wolfsburg 2:0 1. FC Nürnberg
- 14.12.2018: 1. FC Nürnberg 0:2 VfL Wolfsburg
- 19.12.2017: 1. FC Nürnberg 0:0 VfL Wolfsburg
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our model expects 10.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 64%.
How many yellow cards in 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 37%.
Who is more likely to win 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Market line without margin: 1. FC Nürnberg 37%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 39%.