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Walsall vs Oldham: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Walsall 4.8, Oldham 5.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 56%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Walsall 2.0, Oldham 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 55%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Walsall win 38%, draw 27%, Oldham win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Walsall: last five matches — W-D-W-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Oldham: last five matches — L-L-D-L-L.
- 9 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Walsall — 6, Oldham — 21 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Walsall at home and Oldham away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Walsall | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 27 |
| Win rate | 45% | 30% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 44% |
| Total corners per match | 9.9 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 57% | 70% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 53% | 30% |
Head to head
22 meetings in our database: Walsall won 10, 5 draws, Oldham won 7. Per match: 2.3 goals, 10.5 corners, 3.1 yellow cards.
- 29.12.2025: Walsall 1:2 Oldham
- 10.12.2025: Oldham 0:1 Walsall
- 15.03.2022: Walsall 2:1 Oldham
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Walsall vs Oldham?
Our model expects 10.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 56%.
How many yellow cards in Walsall vs Oldham?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 35%.
Who is more likely to win Walsall vs Oldham?
Our model: Walsall 38%, draw 27%, Oldham 35%.