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Wolves vs Portsmouth: prediction and statistics
England · Championship · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Wolves · Portsmouth
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Wolves 5.7, Portsmouth 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Wolves 1.7, Portsmouth 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 32% (typical match — 33%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 69%, typical match 67%.
Result
Our model: Wolves win 67%, draw 21%, Portsmouth win 12%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 43%.
Form
Wolves: last five matches — W-W-D-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Portsmouth: last five matches — L-W-L-D-L.
- 3 matches without a win · away
Table: Wolves — 6, Portsmouth — 19 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Wolves at home and Portsmouth away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Wolves | Portsmouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 50 |
| Win rate | 67% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 11.0 | 10.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 67% | 64% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 3.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 30% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Wolves won 0, 2 draws, Portsmouth won 2. Per match: 1.2 goals, 13.0 corners, 3.3 yellow cards.
- 01.05.2010: Portsmouth 3:1 Wolves
- 03.10.2009: Wolves 0:1 Portsmouth
- 31.01.2004: Portsmouth 0:0 Wolves
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Wolves vs Portsmouth?
Our model expects 10.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 57%.
How many yellow cards in Wolves vs Portsmouth?
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 32%.
Who is more likely to win Wolves vs Portsmouth?
Our model: Wolves 67%, draw 21%, Portsmouth 12%.