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ABB vs Aurora: prediction and statistics
Bolivia · Primera División · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Before kick-off
ABB host Aurora in Primera División on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Aurora are 6th of 16, ABB 16th — a gap of 10 places. ABB are in the bottom three.
ABB are still looking for a win: 5 defeats in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Aurora: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Aurora took 5 from that stretch and ABB only 0.
The home record of ABB (2024–2026) is balanced: 10 wins, 7 draws and 11 defeats in 28 matches, 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Away from home Aurora have 11 wins, 18 draws and 19 defeats in 48 matches, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game.
History favours Aurora — 6 wins from 7 meetings with ABB. Last time out (7 October 2026) it ended Aurora 2:0 ABB. On average these meetings produce 3.1 goals.
Form
ABB: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 6 losses in a row · all competitions
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Aurora: last five matches — W-D-L-L-D.
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: ABB — 16, Aurora — 6 (of 16).
Home and away record
ABB at home and Aurora away, 2024–2026.
| ABB | Aurora | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 28 | 48 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 10-7-11 | 11-18-19 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
Head to head
7 meetings in our database: ABB won 1, 0 draws, Aurora won 6. Per match: 3.1 goals.
- 07.10.2026: Aurora 2:0 ABB
- 25.09.2026: ABB 0:1 Aurora
- 24.07.2026: Aurora 3:2 ABB
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model sees an open game: ABB 41%, draw 24%, Aurora 34%.
- Aurora has won 6 of the last 7 meetings with ABB.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 57% of ABB home games and 56% of Aurora away games.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.5 corners in the match: ABB 3.9, Aurora 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 34% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 8.5 — 53%, typical match 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.5 yellow cards: ABB 2.7, Aurora 2.8; typical match of the competition — 6.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 64% (typical match — 71%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 80%, typical match 84%.
Result
Our model: ABB win 41%, draw 24%, Aurora win 34%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 60%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| ABB | Aurora | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 36% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 71% |
| Total corners per match | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 24% | 33% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 6.1 | 6.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 61% | 71% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 7.1 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.