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Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí: prediction and statistics
Bolivia · Primera División · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Real Tomayapo · Nacional Potosí
Before kick-off
Primera División, 21 November 2026: Real Tomayapo are at home to Nacional Potosí. Nacional Potosí sit 7th in the 16-team table while Real Tomayapo are 13th, so 6 places separate the two sides.
An uneven run for Real Tomayapo: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Nacional Potosí have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 7 against 6.
At home (2024–2026) Real Tomayapo have 24 wins, 11 draws and 11 defeats in 46 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. The away record of Nacional Potosí: 10 wins, 16 draws and 21 defeats in 47 matches, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 14 meetings — wins: Real Tomayapo 3, Nacional Potosí 8; draws: 3. The most recent meeting, on 30 September 2026, finished Real Tomayapo 1:1 Nacional Potosí. On average these meetings produce 2.4 goals.
Form
Real Tomayapo: last five matches — L-W-D-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Nacional Potosí: last five matches — W-D-L-D-D.
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · away
Table: Real Tomayapo — 13, Nacional Potosí — 7 (of 16).
Home and away record
Real Tomayapo at home and Nacional Potosí away, 2024–2026.
| Real Tomayapo | Nacional Potosí | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 46 | 47 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 24-11-11 | 10-16-21 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
Head to head
14 meetings in our database: Real Tomayapo won 3, 3 draws, Nacional Potosí won 8. Per match: 2.4 goals.
- 30.09.2026: Real Tomayapo 1:1 Nacional Potosí
- 03.09.2026: Nacional Potosí 5:1 Real Tomayapo
- 26.07.2026: Nacional Potosí 4:1 Real Tomayapo
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Nacional Potosí is the more likely winner in our model: 57%, draw 22%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 46% of Real Tomayapo’s home matches and 60% of Nacional Potosí’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.9 corners in the match: Real Tomayapo 4.7, Nacional Potosí 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 40% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Real Tomayapo 2.0, Nacional Potosí 2.5; typical match of the competition — 6.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 71%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 52%, typical match 29%.
Result
Our model: Real Tomayapo win 21%, draw 22%, Nacional Potosí win 57%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 57%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Real Tomayapo | Nacional Potosí | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 52% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 70% |
| Total corners per match | 10.6 | 9.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 57% | 49% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.5 | 5.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 71% | 66% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 11.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.