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Argentinos JRS vs Tigre: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Liga Profesional · 3 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.7 corners in the match: Argentinos JRS 5.2, Tigre 3.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 37% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 63%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.5 yellow cards: Argentinos JRS 2.5, Tigre 3.0; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 64% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 64%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Argentinos JRS win 50%, draw 31%, Tigre win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 42%.
Form
Argentinos JRS: last five matches — D-W-W-W-D.
- 13 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Tigre: last five matches — W-D-L-L-L.
- 6 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: Argentinos JRS — 2, Tigre — 22 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Argentinos JRS at home and Tigre away, 2024–2026.
| Argentinos JRS | Tigre | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 45 |
| Win rate | 63% | 31% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 31% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 42% |
| Total corners per match | 8.2 | 8.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 31% | 40% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.9 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 65% | 53% |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Argentinos JRS won 4, 2 draws, Tigre won 4. Per match: 2.2 goals, 7.4 corners, 4.8 yellow cards.
- 16.03.2026: Tigre 1:1 Argentinos JRS
- 20.07.2025: Tigre 2:1 Argentinos JRS
- 31.01.2025: Argentinos JRS 1:0 Tigre
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?
Our model expects 8.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 37%.
How many yellow cards in Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?
Our model expects 5.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 64%.
Who is more likely to win Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?
Market line without margin: Argentinos JRS 50%, draw 31%, Tigre 19%.