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AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava: prediction and statistics
Europe · Champions League · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: AS Roma · Slovan Bratislava
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: AS Roma 7.1, Slovan Bratislava 2.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 56%, typical match 51%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: AS Roma 1.9, Slovan Bratislava 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 41% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 59%, typical match 57%.
Result
Our model: AS Roma win 83%, draw 12%, Slovan Bratislava win 5%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 35%.
European cups
Seasons 2025/26 and 2026/27 — the new format
AS Roma
All 11: 5W · 3D · 3L · goals 18:12
Home 5: 2W · 0D · 3L · goals 8:8
- 10.09.26 · UCL · Fenerbahçe (a) 1:1
- 19.03.26 · UEL · Bologna (h) 3:4
- 12.03.26 · UEL · Bologna (a) 1:1
- 29.01.26 · UEL · Panathinaikos (a) 1:1
- 22.01.26 · UEL · VfB Stuttgart (h) 2:0
League · Serie A 2026/27: 3 of 20 · 4W · 2D · 0L · goals 14:3. Italy — 2 in the UEFA country ranking (coefficient 88.6).
Slovan Bratislava
All 19: 7W · 4D · 8L · goals 28:30
Away 10: 3W · 1D · 6L · goals 12:20
- 09.09.26 · UCL · Paris Saint Germain (a) 1:6
- 26.08.26 · UCL · Celje (a) 2:1
- 19.08.26 · UCL · Celje (h) 1:1
- 11.08.26 · UCL · Mjallby AIF (h) 2:0
- 04.08.26 · UCL · Mjallby AIF (a) 2:1
League · Super Liga 2026/27: 4 of 12 · 5W · 2D · 2L · goals 21:10. Slovakia — 27 in the UEFA country ranking (coefficient 22.4).
UCL: league phase 2026/27: AS Roma — 19 of 36 · 1 pts · 1 played; Slovan Bratislava — 35 of 36 · 0 pts · 1 played.
Head to head in Europe
They have not met in Europe before.
Champions League, Europa League and Conference League, qualifiers included — the two seasons of the new format. Corners and cards from matches where they are recorded.
Form
AS Roma: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Slovan Bratislava: last five matches — .
Team statistics for three seasons
AS Roma at home and Slovan Bratislava away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| AS Roma | Slovan Bratislava | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | — | 14 |
| Win rate | — | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | — | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | — | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 57% |
| Both teams score | — | 71% |
| Total corners per match | — | 12.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | 86% |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | 50% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?
Our model expects 9.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 44%.
How many yellow cards in AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 41%.
Who is more likely to win AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?
Our model: AS Roma 83%, draw 12%, Slovan Bratislava 5%.