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AS Trencin vs Podbrezová: prediction and statistics
Slovakia · Super Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: AS Trencin · Podbrezová
Before kick-off
Super Liga, 21 November 2026: AS Trencin are at home to Podbrezová. Podbrezová sit 5th in the 12-team table while AS Trencin are 12th, so 7 places separate the two sides. AS Trencin are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
AS Trencin are in a difficult spell: 1 win and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. Podbrezová arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 12 for Podbrezová against 3 for AS Trencin.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) AS Trencin have 14 wins, 10 draws and 16 defeats in 40 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The away record of Podbrezová: 12 wins, 10 draws and 19 defeats in 41 matches, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 13 meetings — wins: AS Trencin 1, Podbrezová 7; draws: 5. The most recent meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Podbrezová 2:1 AS Trencin. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
AS Trencin: last five matches — W-L-L-L-L.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Podbrezová: last five matches — W-W-W-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: AS Trencin — 12, Podbrezová — 5 (of 12).
Home and away record
AS Trencin at home and Podbrezová away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| AS Trencin | Podbrezová | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 41 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 14-10-16 | 12-10-19 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.7 |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: AS Trencin won 1, 5 draws, Podbrezová won 7. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 15.08.2026: Podbrezová 2:1 AS Trencin
- 07.02.2026: AS Trencin 0:4 Podbrezová
- 20.09.2025: Podbrezová 2:0 AS Trencin
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Podbrezová is the more likely winner in our model: 54%, draw 22%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 57% of AS Trencin’s home matches and 63% of Podbrezová’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: AS Trencin 1.8, Podbrezová 2.7; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 40%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 66%, typical match 60%.
Result
Our model: AS Trencin win 24%, draw 22%, Podbrezová win 54%. Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 61%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| AS Trencin | Podbrezová | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 35% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 63% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | 10.5 | 10.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 52% | 68% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 45% | 54% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.