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Zemplín Michalovce vs Spartak Trnava: prediction and statistics
Slovakia · Super Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Zemplín Michalovce · Spartak Trnava
Before kick-off
Super Liga, 21 November 2026: Zemplín Michalovce are at home to Spartak Trnava. Zemplín Michalovce go into the match 8th of 12 in the table, Spartak Trnava are 4th.
An uneven run for Zemplín Michalovce: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Spartak Trnava arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 13 for Spartak Trnava against 7 for Zemplín Michalovce.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Zemplín Michalovce have 16 wins, 10 draws and 14 defeats in 40 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Spartak Trnava travel well: 19 wins, 11 draws and 9 defeats in 39 away matches, with 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Head to head there is no clear master over 22 meetings — wins: Zemplín Michalovce 5, Spartak Trnava 13; draws: 4. The most recent meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Spartak Trnava 2:0 Zemplín Michalovce. On average these meetings produce 2.7 goals.
Form
Zemplín Michalovce: last five matches — W-W-L-D-L.
- 3 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Spartak Trnava: last five matches — W-W-D-W-W.
- 13 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Zemplín Michalovce — 8, Spartak Trnava — 4 (of 12).
Home and away record
Zemplín Michalovce at home and Spartak Trnava away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Zemplín Michalovce | Spartak Trnava | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 39 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 16-10-14 | 19-11-9 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 1.1 |
Head to head
22 meetings in our database: Zemplín Michalovce won 5, 4 draws, Spartak Trnava won 13. Per match: 2.7 goals.
- 16.08.2026: Spartak Trnava 2:0 Zemplín Michalovce
- 18.04.2026: Spartak Trnava 3:0 Zemplín Michalovce
- 21.03.2026: Zemplín Michalovce 1:0 Spartak Trnava
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Spartak Trnava is the more likely winner in our model: 54%, draw 24%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 60% of Zemplín Michalovce’s home matches and 64% of Spartak Trnava’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Zemplín Michalovce 2.4, Spartak Trnava 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 40%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 54%, typical match 40%.
Result
Our model: Zemplín Michalovce win 22%, draw 24%, Spartak Trnava win 54%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 51%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Zemplín Michalovce | Spartak Trnava | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 64% |
| Both teams score | 68% | 64% |
| Total corners per match | 10.1 | 8.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 62% | 46% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 5.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 45% | 64% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.2 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.