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Žilina vs Dukla Banská Bystrica: prediction and statistics
Slovakia · Super Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Žilina · Dukla Banská Bystrica
Before kick-off
Žilina host Dukla Banská Bystrica in Super Liga on 21 November 2026. In the standings Žilina are 3rd and Dukla Banská Bystrica 7th out of 12 teams. Žilina are in the top three.
Žilina arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Dukla Banská Bystrica: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Žilina took 12 from that stretch and Dukla Banská Bystrica only 7.
The home record of Žilina (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 22 wins, 8 draws and 9 defeats in 39 matches, 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Dukla Banská Bystrica find it hard on the road: 3 wins, 7 draws and 13 defeats in 23 away matches, 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
History favours Žilina — 6 wins from 10 meetings with Dukla Banská Bystrica. Last time out (15 August 2026) it ended Dukla Banská Bystrica 3:4 Žilina. On average these meetings produce 4.5 goals.
Form
Žilina: last five matches — W-W-W-L-W.
- 16 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 10 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Dukla Banská Bystrica: last five matches — L-L-W-W-D.
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Žilina — 3, Dukla Banská Bystrica — 7 (of 12).
Home and away record
Žilina at home and Dukla Banská Bystrica away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Žilina | Dukla Banská Bystrica | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 39 | 23 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 22-8-9 | 3-7-13 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.8 |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Žilina won 6, 1 draws, Dukla Banská Bystrica won 3. Per match: 4.5 goals.
- 15.08.2026: Dukla Banská Bystrica 3:4 Žilina
- 01.03.2025: Dukla Banská Bystrica 1:2 Žilina
- 20.10.2024: Žilina 2:0 Dukla Banská Bystrica
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes Žilina the favourite at 61%; a draw is 20%.
- Žilina has won 6 of the last 10 meetings with Dukla Banská Bystrica.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 67% of Žilina home games and 52% of Dukla Banská Bystrica away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Žilina 1.5, Dukla Banská Bystrica 2.6; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 40%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 62%, typical match 60%.
Result
Our model: Žilina win 61%, draw 20%, Dukla Banská Bystrica win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 59%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Žilina | Dukla Banská Bystrica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 56% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 64% | 44% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 67% | 61% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 39% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.8 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.