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Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Liga Profesional · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: Atletico Tucuman 5.2, Rosario Central 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 55%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Atletico Tucuman 2.1, Rosario Central 2.6; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 70%, typical match 74%.
Result
Our model: Atletico Tucuman win 40%, draw 30%, Rosario Central win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 42%.
Form
Atletico Tucuman: last five matches — W-D-D-L-L.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
Rosario Central: last five matches — L-D-W-W-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Atletico Tucuman — 25, Rosario Central — 6 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Atletico Tucuman at home and Rosario Central away, 2024–2026.
| Atletico Tucuman | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 44 | 45 |
| Win rate | 45% | 40% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 40% |
| Total corners per match | 10.4 | 8.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 57% | 36% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 5.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 64% | 73% |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: Atletico Tucuman won 3, 6 draws, Rosario Central won 9. Per match: 2.6 goals, 8.2 corners, 4.7 yellow cards.
- 05.04.2026: Rosario Central 2:1 Atletico Tucuman
- 09.08.2025: Atletico Tucuman 0:0 Rosario Central
- 08.02.2025: Rosario Central 3:1 Atletico Tucuman
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
Our model expects 9.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 51%.
Who is more likely to win Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
Our model: Atletico Tucuman 40%, draw 30%, Rosario Central 31%.