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Azam vs Singida Black Stars: prediction and statistics
Tanzania · Ligi Kuu Bara · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Azam · Singida Black Stars
Before kick-off
Ligi Kuu Bara, 20 November 2026: Azam are at home to Singida Black Stars. Azam sit 3rd in the 16-team table while Singida Black Stars are 9th, so 6 places separate the two sides. Azam are part of the leading group.
Few sides are in better shape than Azam right now — 4 wins and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. Singida Black Stars have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 12 for Azam against 7 for Singida Black Stars.
Azam are hard to beat on their own ground — 26 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats in 35 home matches (2024–2026), with 1.9 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. The away record of Singida Black Stars: 15 wins, 8 draws and 13 defeats in 36 matches, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 4 meetings — wins: Azam 2, Singida Black Stars 1; draws: 1. The most recent meeting, on 1 April 2026, finished Singida Black Stars 1:2 Azam. On average these meetings produce 1.8 goals.
Form
Azam: last five matches — W-W-L-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Singida Black Stars: last five matches — D-L-W-W-L.
- 12 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: Azam — 3, Singida Black Stars — 9 (of 16).
Home and away record
Azam at home and Singida Black Stars away, 2024–2026.
| Azam | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 36 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 26-6-3 | 15-8-13 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.3 | 1.1 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Azam won 2, 1 draws, Singida Black Stars won 1. Per match: 1.8 goals.
- 01.04.2026: Singida Black Stars 1:2 Azam
- 03.12.2025: Azam 0:0 Singida Black Stars
- 06.04.2025: Singida Black Stars 1:0 Azam
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Azam is the more likely winner in our model: 65%, draw 21%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 40% of Azam’s home matches and 42% of Singida Black Stars’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.3 yellow cards: Azam 1.6, Singida Black Stars 1.7; typical match of the competition — 3.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 23% (typical match — 19%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 77%, typical match 81%.
Result
Our model: Azam win 65%, draw 21%, Singida Black Stars win 14%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 44%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Azam | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 74% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 42% |
| Both teams score | 20% | 53% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 18% | 14% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.