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Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Liga Profesional · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.6 corners in the match: Belgrano Cordoba 4.3, River Plate 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 36% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 8.5 — 51%, typical match 40%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Belgrano Cordoba 2.3, River Plate 2.4; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 69%, typical match 74%.
Result
Our model: Belgrano Cordoba win 43%, draw 29%, River Plate win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 43%.
Form
Belgrano Cordoba: last five matches — L-W-L-D-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
River Plate: last five matches — L-L-D-W-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Belgrano Cordoba — 1, River Plate — 5 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Belgrano Cordoba at home and River Plate away, 2024–2026.
| Belgrano Cordoba | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 42 |
| Win rate | 40% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 29% |
| Both teams score | 49% | 36% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 8.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 44% | 38% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.2 | 5.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 60% | 55% |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Belgrano Cordoba won 2, 1 draws, River Plate won 6. Per match: 3.0 goals, 9.8 corners, 4.6 yellow cards.
- 24.05.2026: River Plate 2:3 Belgrano Cordoba
- 05.04.2026: River Plate 3:0 Belgrano Cordoba
- 18.05.2024: River Plate 3:0 Belgrano Cordoba
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate?
Our model expects 8.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 36%.
How many yellow cards in Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 51%.
Who is more likely to win Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate?
Our model: Belgrano Cordoba 43%, draw 29%, River Plate 28%.