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Blaublitz Akita vs Montedio Yamagata: prediction and statistics
Japan · J2 League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Blaublitz Akita · Montedio Yamagata
Before kick-off
Blaublitz Akita host Montedio Yamagata in J2 League on 21 November 2026. In the standings Blaublitz Akita are 12th and Montedio Yamagata 15th out of 20 teams.
Blaublitz Akita arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. Montedio Yamagata are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Counted in points, Blaublitz Akita took 11 from that stretch and Montedio Yamagata only 4.
The home record of Blaublitz Akita (2024–2026) is balanced: 18 wins, 15 draws and 14 defeats in 47 matches, 1.1 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Away from home Montedio Yamagata have 19 wins, 8 draws and 19 defeats in 46 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 per game.
The 12 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Blaublitz Akita 3, Montedio Yamagata 7, draws 2. Last time out (29 April 2026) it ended Blaublitz Akita 2:0 Montedio Yamagata. On average these meetings produce 2.9 goals.
Form
Blaublitz Akita: last five matches — D-W-W-D-W.
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Montedio Yamagata: last five matches — L-D-W-L-L.
Table: Blaublitz Akita — 12, Montedio Yamagata — 15 (of 20).
Home and away record
Blaublitz Akita at home and Montedio Yamagata away, 2024–2026.
| Blaublitz Akita | Montedio Yamagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 47 | 46 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 18-15-14 | 19-8-19 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Blaublitz Akita won 3, 2 draws, Montedio Yamagata won 7. Per match: 2.9 goals.
- 29.04.2026: Blaublitz Akita 2:0 Montedio Yamagata
- 08.03.2026: Montedio Yamagata 0:1 Blaublitz Akita
- 22.06.2025: Blaublitz Akita 2:3 Montedio Yamagata
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 40% of Blaublitz Akita home games and 59% of Montedio Yamagata away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Blaublitz Akita 44%, draw 27%, Montedio Yamagata 29%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 2.9 yellow cards: Blaublitz Akita 1.2, Montedio Yamagata 1.6; typical match of the competition — 2.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 17% (typical match — 11%).
Result
Our model: Blaublitz Akita win 44%, draw 27%, Montedio Yamagata win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 48%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Blaublitz Akita | Montedio Yamagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 38% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 59% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 15% | 11% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.