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Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba: prediction and statistics

Argentina · Liga Profesional · 18 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

54%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: Boca Juniors 5.5, Talleres Cordoba 3.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 47%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 53%.

Yellow cards

54%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Boca Juniors 2.0, Talleres Cordoba 2.9; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 57%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 74%.

Result

Our model: Boca Juniors win 54%, draw 26%, Talleres Cordoba win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 42%.

Form

Boca Juniors: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.

Talleres Cordoba: last five matches — L-W-L-L-L.

Table: Boca Juniors — 3, Talleres Cordoba — 20 (of 30).

Team statistics for three seasons

Boca Juniors at home and Talleres Cordoba away, 2024–2026.

Boca JuniorsTalleres Cordoba
Matches4845
Win rate58%31%
Goals scored per match1.40.9
Goals conceded per match0.51.0
Over 2.5 goals25%36%
Both teams score35%42%
Total corners per match8.98.6
Over 9.5 corners48%36%
Total yellow cards per match5.35.3
Over 4.5 yellow cards67%60%

Head to head

17 meetings in our database: Boca Juniors won 7, 6 draws, Talleres Cordoba won 4. Per match: 1.6 goals, 9.4 corners, 5.4 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba?

Our model expects 9.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.

How many yellow cards in Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba?

Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 54%.

Who is more likely to win Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba?

Our model: Boca Juniors 54%, draw 26%, Talleres Cordoba 20%.

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