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Bristol Rovers vs Salford City: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Bristol Rovers · Salford City
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Bristol Rovers 4.9, Salford City 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 50%, typical match 48%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Bristol Rovers 2.0, Salford City 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 58%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Bristol Rovers win 31%, draw 26%, Salford City win 43%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
Bristol Rovers: last five matches — D-W-W-W-L.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Salford City: last five matches — L-D-W-D-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Bristol Rovers — 9, Salford City — 1 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Bristol Rovers at home and Salford City away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Bristol Rovers | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 28 | 53 |
| Win rate | 57% | 42% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 49% |
| Both teams score | 36% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50% | 43% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 43% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Bristol Rovers won 2, 1 draws, Salford City won 1. Per match: 1.8 goals, 9.8 corners, 4.5 yellow cards.
- 24.01.2026: Salford City 1:0 Bristol Rovers
- 27.09.2025: Bristol Rovers 2:1 Salford City
- 15.04.2022: Bristol Rovers 1:0 Salford City
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 50%.
How many yellow cards in Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 39%.
Who is more likely to win Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?
Our model: Bristol Rovers 31%, draw 26%, Salford City 43%.