Xpect
Busan I Park vs Cheongju: prediction and statistics
South Korea · K League 2 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Busan I Park · Cheongju
Before kick-off
K League 2, 21 November 2026: Busan I Park are at home to Cheongju. Busan I Park sit 6th in the 17-team table while Cheongju are 14th, so 8 places separate the two sides.
Recent results of Busan I Park are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Cheongju have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024–2026) Busan I Park have 19 wins, 16 draws and 18 defeats in 53 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The away record of Cheongju: 13 wins, 21 draws and 17 defeats in 51 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded on average.
This fixture often ends level: 6 of the 11 meetings in the Xpect database were draws. The most recent meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Cheongju 1:2 Busan I Park. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Busan I Park: last five matches — D-L-W-W-W.
- 3 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
Cheongju: last five matches — L-L-W-W-L.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Busan I Park — 6, Cheongju — 14 (of 17).
Home and away record
Busan I Park at home and Cheongju away, 2024–2026.
| Busan I Park | Cheongju | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 53 | 51 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 19-16-18 | 13-21-17 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: Busan I Park won 3, 6 draws, Cheongju won 2. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 29.03.2026: Cheongju 1:2 Busan I Park
- 30.08.2025: Busan I Park 2:2 Cheongju
- 22.06.2025: Busan I Park 2:2 Cheongju
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 53% of Busan I Park’s home matches and 49% of Cheongju’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 6 of 11 meetings.
- Busan I Park is the more likely winner in our model: 57%, draw 23%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Busan I Park 1.6, Cheongju 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 26% (typical match — 31%).
Result
Our model: Busan I Park win 57%, draw 23%, Cheongju win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 52%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Busan I Park | Cheongju | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 36% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 49% |
| Both teams score | 59% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 13% | 28% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.1 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.