Xpect
Gimpo Citizen vs Suwon City FC: prediction and statistics
South Korea · K League 2 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Gimpo Citizen · Suwon City FC
Before kick-off
K League 2, 21 November 2026: Gimpo Citizen are at home to Suwon City FC. Suwon City FC sit 2nd in the 17-team table while Gimpo Citizen are 8th, so 6 places separate the two sides. Suwon City FC are in the top three.
An uneven run for Gimpo Citizen: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Suwon City FC arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024–2026) Gimpo Citizen have 17 wins, 18 draws and 17 defeats in 52 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Suwon City FC travel well: 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats in 15 away matches, with 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 1 meeting between them. The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Suwon City FC 1:1 Gimpo Citizen.
Form
Gimpo Citizen: last five matches — W-L-W-L-D.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Suwon City FC: last five matches — W-D-D-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Gimpo Citizen — 8, Suwon City FC — 2 (of 17).
Home and away record
Gimpo Citizen at home and Suwon City FC away, 2024–2026.
| Gimpo Citizen | Suwon City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 15 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 17-18-17 | 8-4-3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Gimpo Citizen won 0, 1 draws, Suwon City FC won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 26.04.2026: Suwon City FC 1:1 Gimpo Citizen
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Suwon City FC is the more likely winner in our model: 52%, draw 24%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 46% of Gimpo Citizen’s home matches and 80% of Suwon City FC’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Gimpo Citizen 1.9, Suwon City FC 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 34% (typical match — 31%).
Result
Our model: Gimpo Citizen win 24%, draw 24%, Suwon City FC win 52%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 54%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Gimpo Citizen | Suwon City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 58% | 80% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 40% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.