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Suwon Bluewings vs Gyeongnam FC: prediction and statistics
South Korea · K League 2 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Suwon Bluewings · Gyeongnam FC
Before kick-off
Suwon Bluewings host Gyeongnam FC in K League 2 on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Suwon Bluewings are 1st of 17, Gyeongnam FC 9th — a gap of 8 places.
Suwon Bluewings arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Gyeongnam FC no victory — 2 draws and 3 defeats. Counted in points, Suwon Bluewings took 13 from that stretch and Gyeongnam FC only 2.
Home advantage matters here: Suwon Bluewings have 29 wins, 14 draws and 10 defeats in 53 home matches (2024–2026), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.9 per game. Gyeongnam FC find it hard on the road: 9 wins, 18 draws and 25 defeats in 52 away matches, 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 6 in 15 meetings. Last time out (18 April 2026) it ended Gyeongnam FC 0:1 Suwon Bluewings. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.
Form
Suwon Bluewings: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 14 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · at home
Gyeongnam FC: last five matches — D-D-L-L-L.
- 12 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: Suwon Bluewings — 1, Gyeongnam FC — 9 (of 17).
Home and away record
Suwon Bluewings at home and Gyeongnam FC away, 2024–2026.
| Suwon Bluewings | Gyeongnam FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 53 | 52 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 29-14-10 | 9-18-25 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.6 |
Head to head
15 meetings in our database: Suwon Bluewings won 6, 6 draws, Gyeongnam FC won 3. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 18.04.2026: Gyeongnam FC 0:1 Suwon Bluewings
- 20.09.2025: Suwon Bluewings 1:2 Gyeongnam FC
- 22.06.2025: Gyeongnam FC 1:3 Suwon Bluewings
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes Suwon Bluewings the favourite at 64%; a draw is 23%.
- 6 of the 15 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 53% of Suwon Bluewings home games and 44% of Gyeongnam FC away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Suwon Bluewings 1.6, Gyeongnam FC 2.6; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 41% (typical match — 31%).
Result
Our model: Suwon Bluewings win 64%, draw 23%, Gyeongnam FC win 13%. Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 40%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Suwon Bluewings | Gyeongnam FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 55% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 21% | 33% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.