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Campobasso FC vs Vis Pesaro: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone B · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Campobasso FC · Vis Pesaro
Before kick-off
Campobasso FC host Vis Pesaro in Serie C – Girone B on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Campobasso FC are 9th of 20, Vis Pesaro 20th — a gap of 11 places. Vis Pesaro are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
Campobasso FC have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Vis Pesaro no victory — 1 draw and 4 defeats. Counted in points, Campobasso FC took 8 from that stretch and Vis Pesaro only 1.
The home record of Campobasso FC (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 19 wins, 13 draws and 13 defeats in 45 matches, 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Away from home Vis Pesaro have 10 wins, 15 draws and 19 defeats in 44 matches, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.1 per game.
The 4 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Campobasso FC 2, Vis Pesaro 1, draws 1. Last time out (16 February 2026) it ended Vis Pesaro 1:2 Campobasso FC. On average these meetings produce 3.2 goals.
Form
Campobasso FC: last five matches — D-L-W-W-D.
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
Vis Pesaro: last five matches — L-L-L-D-L.
- 8 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Campobasso FC — 9, Vis Pesaro — 20 (of 20).
Home and away record
Campobasso FC at home and Vis Pesaro away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Campobasso FC | Vis Pesaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 44 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 19-13-13 | 10-15-19 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Campobasso FC won 2, 1 draws, Vis Pesaro won 1. Per match: 3.2 goals.
- 16.02.2026: Vis Pesaro 1:2 Campobasso FC
- 04.10.2025: Campobasso FC 2:2 Vis Pesaro
- 31.01.2025: Vis Pesaro 1:0 Campobasso FC
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 40% of Campobasso FC home games and 36% of Vis Pesaro away games.
- Our model makes Campobasso FC the favourite at 53%; a draw is 23%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Campobasso FC 2.0, Vis Pesaro 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 42% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 58%, typical match 46%.
Result
Our model: Campobasso FC win 53%, draw 23%, Vis Pesaro win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 57%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Campobasso FC | Vis Pesaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 42% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 51% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 5.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 53% | 61% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.