Xpect
Vado vs Latina: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone B · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Before kick-off
Vado host Latina in Serie C – Girone B on 21 November 2026. In the standings Vado are 14th and Latina 10th out of 20 teams.
Vado have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Latina no victory — 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Home matches have been a struggle for Vado (2024/25–2026/27) — 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 7 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 on average. Latina find it hard on the road: 2 draws and 4 defeats in 6 away matches, 0.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
There are no previous meetings between the two sides in the Xpect database.
Form
Vado: last five matches — L-W-D-D-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · at home
Latina: last five matches — L-D-D-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: Vado — 14, Latina — 10 (of 20).
Home and away record
Vado at home and Latina away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Vado | Latina | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 2-2-3 | 0-2-4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.8 |
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 43% of Vado home games and 33% of Latina away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Vado 38%, draw 26%, Latina 36%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Vado 1.8, Latina 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 42% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 58%, typical match 46%.
Result
Our model: Vado win 38%, draw 26%, Latina win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Vado | Latina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 29% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 57% | 17% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.